What will AI change in your workforce?

Your company's stance on AI(applies to every family: sets the adoption speed)

Revenue assurance and fraud

ISCO-08 2413, 2511

Revenue assurance analyst, Fraud analyst, Fraud management manager, Revenue assurance manager, Interconnect billing controller

AI exposure55%

Headcount need, in FTE

Exposure range
FTE
Need in 203086 FTE-14 FTE (-14%)
Need in 203573 FTE-27 FTE (-27%)
10080604020262028203020322035
How AI is used on these tasks todayIn AI conversations about this job's tasks: the AI does the task itself (automation) or helps the person do it (augmentation).Anthropic Economic Index, April and May 2026. Occupations: Fraud Examiners, Investigators and Analysts, Operations Research Analysts. AEI
Average automation potential of the job's tasks. Range for this family: 44 to 68%.ILO occupations used: Financial Analysts (62%), Systems Analysts (49%). ILO data
Your call: how much of this potential do you want to capture? Nobody can set it for you.
3. Adoption speed midpoint 2030
Inherits your company stance, adjustable for this family.
Default 50%: Fraud schemes keep evolving and control coverage can always widen, so part of the gain is reinvested, while reconciliation work itself shrinks.

Target AI skills

level 1 to 4
Foundation
Use AI assistants every day
Frame and phrase a request
Check and challenge AI outputs
Protect data and respect the rules
Applied
Rethink one's process with AI
Analyse data with AI
Produce content with AI
Delegate to and supervise AI agents
Expert
Build and integrate AI solutions
Evaluate and make AI solutions reliable
AI governance and risk management

Job skills

Growing in value

  • Investigating new fraud schemes
  • Tuning and challenging detection models
  • Quantifying and prioritising revenue leakages
  • Coordinating with legal, IT and network teams

Losing value

  • Rule-based reconciliation of usage and billing records
  • Manual review of fraud alerts
  • Writing extraction queries by hand
  • Monthly leakage reporting

How the job will change

Revenue assurance has long relied on reconciling records: usage records from the network against what is billed, interconnect volumes against partner invoices. Machine learning models now run these controls continuously and flag anomalies, and assistants write the queries and the monthly leakage report. In fraud, scoring models sort the alerts, so analysts no longer review long lists of false positives one by one.

Value moves to investigation and to the models themselves. Fraudsters adapt quickly (SIM swap, international revenue share fraud, fake subscriptions), and someone must understand a new scheme before any model can detect it. A good analyst tomorrow reads a network trace as easily as a financial statement, challenges the model when it misses a pattern, and explains each leakage to finance in money terms.

2026-2027
Assistants write queries and reports; scoring models cut false positive alerts.
2028-2030
Continuous automated reconciliation; analysts focus on investigations and model tuning.
2031+
A smaller team of investigators and detection model specialists.
Watch out

Fraudsters use AI too (synthetic identities, voice cloning in SIM swap attacks). Cutting analysts too fast, on the assumption that models cover the risk, leaves the operator exposed to schemes no model has seen yet. See the seniority outlook below.

What if you hired fewer juniors?

Your 2036 seniors are the juniors you hire today.

Seniors available in 2036-5%2 FTE short
Gap above 5% from2036
Your seniority mix today
Mid-level (3 to 10 yrs in the profession, the remainder)45%
For
Advanced settings
If every company makes the same bet, senior profiles will be scarce and expensive.
80601002026203020342040Senior need (held stable)Seniors available
Seniority mix, % of today's headcount
Juniors25%Mid-level42%Seniors28%

2026 2036

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  • What AI actually changes in jobs and skills
  • Why the junior pipeline matters more than most companies realise
  • How to integrate AI into workforce planning
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How the numbers are built

Every headcount figure combines four assumptions. Three come pre-filled from public research and job family defaults. The strategic ceiling is yours to set.

Public researchExposureAverage automation potential of the job's tasks, from the ILO's 2025 task-level scores.
Your decisionStrategic ceilingHow much of that potential you choose to capture. Your decision, not ours.
Your companyAdoption speedHow fast your company moves, set once for the whole company.
Job family defaultConversion to headcountHow much of the productivity gain becomes fewer people rather than more output.
Headcount effect

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