What will AI change in your workforce?

Your company's stance on AI(applies to every family: sets the adoption speed)

Regulatory affairs

ISCO-08 2422, 2262

Regulatory affairs manager, Regulatory affairs specialist, Regulatory CMC specialist, Regulatory intelligence analyst, Labelling specialist, Regulatory operations specialist

AI exposure38%

Headcount need, in FTE

Exposure range
FTE
Need in 203091 FTE-10 FTE (-9%)
Need in 203581 FTE-19 FTE (-19%)
10080604020262028203020322035
How AI is used on these tasks todayIn AI conversations about this job's tasks: the AI does the task itself (automation) or helps the person do it (augmentation).Anthropic Economic Index, April and May 2026. Occupations: Regulatory Affairs Specialists, Regulatory Affairs Managers. AEI
Average automation potential of the job's tasks. Range for this family: 24 to 48%.ILO occupations used: Policy Administration Professionals (42%), Pharmacists (33%). ILO data
Your call: how much of this potential do you want to capture? Nobody can set it for you.
3. Adoption speed midpoint 2030
Inherits your company stance, adjustable for this family.
Default 50%: Submission volumes depend on the portfolio and authority requirements; drafting and publishing gains therefore reduce workload directly, while expert judgement remains needed.

Target AI skills

level 1 to 4
Foundation
Use AI assistants every day
Frame and phrase a request
Check and challenge AI outputs
Protect data and respect the rules
Applied
Rethink one's process with AI
Analyse data with AI
Produce content with AI
Delegate to and supervise AI agents
Expert
AI governance and risk management

Job skills

Growing in value

  • Regulatory strategy and dialogue with authorities
  • Verifying AI-drafted submission content
  • Interpreting new or ambiguous regulations
  • Coordinating submissions across countries

Losing value

  • Drafting standard dossier sections
  • Dossier compilation and publishing formatting
  • Manual regulatory watch and summaries
  • Updating labelling across country versions

How the job will change

A large share of regulatory work is document-heavy, and that is where AI goes first. Assistants draft standard dossier sections from source data, check consistency between modules, compile and format submissions, update labelling across country versions and summarise new guidance from authorities. Regulatory intelligence, once a manual reading task, becomes a filtered stream of relevant changes. Publishing teams feel the impact earliest.

The job moves towards strategy and accountability. Regulatory professionals decide how to present data, anticipate the questions an agency will ask and negotiate during reviews. They must verify every AI-drafted statement, because an error in a submission can cost months. A good regulatory professional tomorrow combines scientific depth with sound judgement on grey areas and keeps credibility with the authorities.

2026-2027
Assistants draft standard sections and summarise regulatory watch.
2028-2030
Structured submissions largely assembled automatically; publishing teams shrink.
2031+
Smaller teams centred on strategy, authority relations and complex files.
Watch out

Authorities' acceptance of AI-generated content is still evolving and varies by country. Cutting experienced staff before the rules settle could leave the company short of expertise for a major filing or inspection. See the seniority outlook below.

What if you hired fewer juniors?

Your 2036 seniors are the juniors you hire today.

Seniors available in 2036-5%2 FTE short
Gap above 5% from2036
Your seniority mix today
Mid-level (3 to 10 yrs in the profession, the remainder)45%
For
Advanced settings
If every company makes the same bet, senior profiles will be scarce and expensive.
80601002026203020342040Senior need (held stable)Seniors available
Seniority mix, % of today's headcount
Juniors25%Mid-level42%Seniors28%

2026 2036

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  • What AI actually changes in jobs and skills
  • Why the junior pipeline matters more than most companies realise
  • How to integrate AI into workforce planning
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How the numbers are built

Every headcount figure combines four assumptions. Three come pre-filled from public research and job family defaults. The strategic ceiling is yours to set.

Public researchExposureAverage automation potential of the job's tasks, from the ILO's 2025 task-level scores.
Your decisionStrategic ceilingHow much of that potential you choose to capture. Your decision, not ours.
Your companyAdoption speedHow fast your company moves, set once for the whole company.
Job family defaultConversion to headcountHow much of the productivity gain becomes fewer people rather than more output.
Headcount effect

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